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The latest New York Times/Siena College poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump tied nationally with just over a week until Election Day.
What’s the deal: According to the latest poll, which the New York Times says will be their last nationwide poll until election day, both candidates are tied at 48%. When other candidates are included in the poll, Trump gains a narrow lead over Harris by 1%, standing at 47% to her 46%. Voters polled appeared largely committed, with 87% indicating they are definitely supporting their chosen candidate, while another 11% say they probably will, and only 2% remain undecided.

Additionally, Congressional races are just as competitive, with both Democratic and Republican candidates each receiving 48% support.
Who’s more favorable?: In terms of favorability, the poll indicates a near-equal division among voters: 30% view Donald Trump very favorably, while 29% say the same of Kamala Harris, although both face similar levels of unfavorable views—44% for Trump and 42% for Harris. On issue-based trust, voters split depending on specific concerns. Trump is more trusted on economic issues, with 52% favoring his approach over Harris’s 45%, and on immigration, where he leads with 54% to her 43%.
Contrarily, Harris has a significant lead on abortion, with 55% of respondents trusting her handling of the issue compared to Trump’s 40%. When asked to consider which candidate would best address their top issue overall, Trump holds a slight advantage at 49% to Harris’s 46%, highlighting nuanced divisions in voter priorities.